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Messages - BasketBull

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1
Basketball Recruiting / Re: 2018 PF
« on: February 15, 2018, 10:47:05 AM »
Verbal Commits just added another Baltimore MD Power Forward offer for 2019: http://www.verbalcommits.com/players/anthony-walker-iii

Also has offers from Drexel and VCU and was recently contacted by Kansas. It's possible this was the guy Oats went to see per the Gleason article referenced. We have stiff competition for both guys.

2
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: UB/Miami(OH) women's game
« on: February 14, 2018, 09:25:08 PM »
Great win tonight against CMU. Central is really good and they played every bit as good as they are. UB still found a way to win. It would be a crime if the selection committee left one of these teams home in March.

3
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: Men's 2/13 Blackout game
« on: February 14, 2018, 08:37:16 AM »
I feel like the only thing that these recent struggles to close out games and close road losses to KSU & NIU shows us is that in terms of relative strength vs. the rest of the conference we are closer to the Akron teams of the last few years than we are to the all time great MAC teams. Very talented and they'll rack up the wins but they're not dominant yet: not until they can consistently get out to a large lead and keep it there without a significant second half lull. We were fortunate that once that Avery kid ended his hot 3 streak it seemed Kent State stopped making shots at the same time we did, so our lull wasn't really as much of a problem last night.

Clark and Perkins both have had a tendency to take shots very early in the shot clock that they really should be passing on or at least just saving for later in the shot clock. Clark seems a bit better at hitting them but Oats still looks a bit frustrated watching some of those go up from both players, especially when they're already in an offensive rut. It seems like as the game wears on the passing starts to slow down and we see more ISO / one on one match ups.

Harris has just an incredibly effortless looking offensive game. Teams have to stick like glue to him around the arc and he can take advantage of that and slash to the rim. His 2 point percentage is great considering how many deep 2s he likes to take.

Massinburg is struggling to find a shot right now but he isn't forcing it and it isn't a massive liability. Credit to him for only taking 7 shots but racking up 7 assists. I'd like to see him drive to the hoop more to regain some of that offensive confidence since he's just so good at drawing fouls.

I still think this is the best team UB has fielded even if the MAC is a bit down this year. Nothing will be an easy out. There is not going to be any sneaking by anybody. I just hope we can keep this core together for one more year because if we do they have all the potential to be a historically great MAC team.

4
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: First team All MAC
« on: February 10, 2018, 01:15:34 PM »
Agree with Fletcher at POTY at this point.

If I was voting today here's what I'd do:

1st Team:
Thomas Wilder
CJ Massinburg
Tre'Shaun Fletcher
Nick Perkins
James Thompson

2nd Team:
Eugene German
Jaylin Walker
Wes Clark
Jeremy Harris
Demajeo Wiggins

Honorable Mention:
Darrian Ringo
Taylor Persons
Teyvion Kirk
Cecil Williams
Adonis De La Rosa

Honorable mention is tough because there's a few guys that deserve a spot there there just wasn't space for. Sanford, Minnie, and Justin Turner come to mind.

Freshmen that should be considered for the all freshman team: Kirk, Turner, Sibande, M. Jackson and Adaway look good but I haven't been paying too much to the freshman around the conference.

I'd wager coach of the year will be down to Oats, Kowalczyk and Owens at Miami.

5
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: CMU Game (2/6 - 7:00pm)
« on: February 06, 2018, 10:12:33 PM »
I was at the Sabres game so I'm just catching up now, but my god that Jayvon Graves block of Luke Meyer was something else.

6
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: Ohio Game (1/26 - 6:30pm)
« on: January 27, 2018, 08:24:44 AM »
Why do the posters on zipsnation refer to UB as SUNYcanada. I know Akron is a crappy school even by Ohio metrics but that is 4th grade geography.

I believe it all stemmed from a UB chant. A few years back, possibly when Charlie Coles was still head coach at Miami, it was pretty common for True Blue to chant “Miami’s in Ohio” and vs the Bobcats “Ohio’s in Ohio.”

At some point, possibly a game at Akron, UB fans started an “Akron’s in Ohio” chant as well and the Akron rejoinder was “Buffalo’s in Canada.”

7
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: EMU Game (1/23 - 7:00pm)
« on: January 24, 2018, 10:13:50 AM »
The combination of a sizable raise and staying in state employee benefit system could be enticing enough. The fact that he has a young family who, as others have said, have put down roots should help as well. I think he's being sincere in asking for a contract extension and the administration should do what is necessary to keep this staff together for another year. After that? Who knows.

Oats is the complete package. No character concerns, great recruiter, he utilizes a system that players WANT to play and he's made great staffing choices. He's been careful, too. I had heard that back when he was HC at Romulus he had other opportunities to move up to an assistant coach position in the MAC and turned them down, so I think he understand the importance of waiting until the right time, not necessarily accepting the first opportunity that arises.

8
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: MAC Season Predictions?
« on: January 23, 2018, 03:37:19 PM »
We should be favored in every game from here on out. Toledo can shoot well enough to win on any given night. Part of me wonders what could have been if Navigato stayed with the guards we have now but I’m good with Harris.

If Navigato stayed then we wouldn't have had one of Massinburg/Conner/Hamilton and probably wouldn't have won that second championship. Navigato is a nice shooter but I think we got the better result.

9
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: UB #33 in RPI
« on: January 19, 2018, 02:48:47 PM »
Here is a little investigation I just did into the RPI of all MAC teams.

https://www.ubbullrun.com/2018/1/11/16866746/mbb-the-macs-rpi

I just did a similar thing with KenPom ratings going back to 2002 since that was the first date he has online. This includes this year to date.

Buffalo's Average KenPom Rating: 132.2 (4th in MAC; MAC average 166.1)
Buffalo's Average over last 5 years: 99.0 (1st in MAC; MAC average 169.5)
Buffalo's Average over last 10 years: 116.8 (2nd in MAC; MAC average 178.5, Akron was 1st with 116.0)
# of times Buffalo had top KenPom Rating: 4 (tied for 2nd with Akron, Kent State was 1st with 5)
# of times Buffalo had Bottom KenPom Rating: 1 (2003 - tied for 5th with Akron, 4 way tie in first with 0 - KSU, WMU, Ohio, BGSU)
# of times Buffalo had above MAC average KenPom: 13 (tied for 2nd with 3 other teams - WMU, Ohio, Akron, Kent State is 1st with 14)
With KenPom, Buffalo has had zero finishes in the top 50, 4 in the top 100, 1 worse than 200, 0 worse than 300

KenPom seems to rate KSU as the best time over this period - average of 110.8 (best in MAC), 1 time in top 50, 9 times in top 100, only once above 200 and zero above 300

Akron is second with an average of an average of 117.6, 1 time in top 50, 9 times in top 100, 2 times above 200 and zero above 300.

Northern Illinois rates as the worst program in the MAC according to KenPom over this span with zero top 100 finishes, 11 finishes of 200 or greater and 2 finishes of 300 or greater. They've been the bottom team 4 times and above average only twice.

Basically, KSU and Akron have been the class of the MAC with Ohio and Buffalo in the next tier, but in terms of recent history Buffalo is tops (KSU is largely propped up by seasons 2002-2011, their more recent history has been bringing them down)

A few other things:
Best average KenPom rating for entire conference: 110.5 (2005 - MAC had 8 teams in top 100)
Worst average KenPom rating for entire conference: 200.3 (2011 - MAC had only 1 team in top 100 - Kent State at 99)
Average KenPom rating for the MAC in 2018 right now is 189.1 which would rank this 14th out of the last 17 years in terms of MAC strength just ahead of 2013.
Worst KenPom for a league champion: 141 - by Kent State in 2017
Times in the last 16 seasons (not including 2018 since it hasn't completed) the top KenPom team also won the MAC championship: 8 - so KenPom is batting 50%

10
I'm more worried about this game than any game we've played in the MAC thus far and any game we have remaining on the conference schedule. WMU has the size and physicality to match ours and they have dynamic scorers in Wilder, Davis and Moore. UB hasn't won at WMU since the 2010-2011 season, and that includes both seasons UB went to the NCAA tournament (both double digit losses). I think WMU has under-performed a bit this year but the talent is still there and they're definitely capable of beating us.

I think this UB team is better than any team we've had in that span, but I wouldn't be shocked by a WMU win tonight. If UB wins tonight they should be favored in every remaining game this year. If they win comfortably then they have a real shot of running the table into the MAC tournament.

11
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: Ohio/UB women's game
« on: January 18, 2018, 01:45:17 PM »
The MAC is good enough this year to potentially get multiple bids into the NCAA tourney. Per RealtimeRPI, the MAC currently has 6 teams in the top 100 of the RPI, and another 4 teams between 100-130. For the sake of comparison, the AAC has only 3 teams in the top 100 and only 1 more 100-130.

Basically, there are enough good teams in the MAC to help keep our RPI high (currently 28th) as we work through the conference slate as long as we keep winning. Make no mistake: Buffalo has a quality resume - Buffalo has already played 7 games against top 100 RPI opponents and UB is 6-1 in those games (vs. Delaware, vs. (n) Nebraska, @ St. John's, @ Ball State, vs. Western Michigan, @ Ohio; only loss was @ Arizona State. Buffalo has 5 games left against current top 100 opponents (twice against Toledo, twice against CMU, home against Ohio).

If UB splits the series against Toledo and CMU and wins against Ohio, that would potentially put them at 9-3 against top 100 and 4-3 against the top 50 (CMU is at 40, Toledo is right on the border at 53). We'd potentially be looking at about 24 wins going into MAC tournament. If the selection committee is just looking at blind resumes, a 24+ win team with a 40 RPI and with that many top 50/100 wins should be an at large.

12
There's a couple of games of Segu's up on ESPN3 now - OCP vs. IMG Academy and OCP vs. Montverde Academy which they just played. Montverde is 21-0 and the # 1 team in the country (#1 recruit RJ Barrett plays for them) and they looked every bit of it against OCP.

Segu is a bit loose with the ball and struggled a bit against Montverde but I wouldn't read too much into it. A couple of the guys he was going up against are likely to be in the NBA after a one and done year in the NCAA. Segu is quick, nimble, a pretty nice shooter and always looking to make a big play. The main negative takeaway was the frequency of sloppy turnovers trying to get the ball inside against skilled athletic bigs. I think he'll be prone to turnovers early and hopefully improve as he acclimates to the pace of D1 play.

I think one thing is for sure: the level of play that both Williams and Segu are playing against right now should benefit them greatly with being able to make the transition as quickly as possible. They're regularly playing against 4 and 5 star guys.

13
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: Wes Clark Injury Update?
« on: January 12, 2018, 12:29:05 PM »
Nate Oats said last night that he's likely to play Saturday but that he won't be 100%. He also said Caruthers could come back as soon as next week.

14
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: Akron Game (1/9 - 7:00pm)
« on: January 10, 2018, 07:10:38 AM »
For those of you who may have listened to the post game, any word on Wes Clark? I noticed he went back in the game after injuring his shoulder, then fouled an Akron player, immediately grabbed his shoulder again and went back out. It looked like he was out the rest of the game with his shoulder wrapped in ice.

15
Buffalo Bulls Basketball / Re: Ball State
« on: January 06, 2018, 03:57:51 PM »
I don’t believe Graves is allowed to call himself a freshman anymore. What an unbelievably impressive and well-rounded performance for him.

Great win for UB especially with Clark and Massinburg not contributing what they have been on offense. Good to see Harris shoot it like he’s capable of doing too. Since we only play BSU once this year this could help us big time if it comes down to tie breakers late in conference play. But these guys are playing like they don’t want to worry about tie breakers.

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